Three cards sit on the Signal Desk, each with a line from a story about a lost dog.
"All three prove he never went far," Rocket says. "Pick any one."
Raven lines the cards up. "They do not prove it equally. What do you notice about this one?"
Rocket reads it. "It says he is scared of the big road. So he probably stayed close."
"Probably," Raven repeats. "That word is a crack in the case."
Nova dims her light to a thin beam and points it at the middle card. "Which line needs the least guessing?" she asks.
Rocket reads the middle card aloud. "Her house was two doors from the ramp." He nods slowly.
"That one," he says. "No probably. Just distance. That is the strongest evidence."
Several lines can support one point. The strongest evidence is the line that supports it most directly, with the least guessing.
Ask: does this line state the point, or does it only make the point likely? Stated beats likely.
Raven thinks aloud: "The text says his house was two doors from the ramp. That is distance, stated. It beats a line about what he is scared of."
Weaker evidence is not useless. It can back up the strongest line as a second piece.
| Statement | True or false? |
|---|---|
| The crew found prints at the community garden. | ? |
| Biscuit was found under the skate ramp. | ? |
| Biscuit came home after dark. | ? |
| Priya said Biscuit never goes far. | ? |
You can now weigh evidence, not just find it. Tomorrow Nova reviews the whole week.