A grown-up pours warm water into the clear jug and sets it on the potting bench. Wren slides the thermometer in.
"Room is 18 degrees," he says. "Water reads 42. Start the stopwatch."
Every minute Comet calls the time and Wren reads the number. 37.2. 33.4. 30.3.
"What do you notice?" Wren asks. "The drops get smaller each minute."
Nova projects the readings beside the room line. "Would you like a hint? Look at the gap above 18, not the reading."
"The gap goes 24, then 19.2, then about 15.4," Comet says. "Each one is 0.8 of the last."
"So the gap is exponential," Wren says. "Which means a logarithm tells us when it halves."
The crew's numbers are made up for the Glass House. Yours will differ, and that is the point of a lab.
| Minute | Reading | Gap above room | Gap ÷ last gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 42 | 24 | (start) |
| 1 | 37.2 | 19.2 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 33.4 | 15.4 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 30.3 | 12.3 | 0.8 |
| 4 | 27.8 | 9.8 | 0.8 |
| 5 | 25.9 | 7.9 | 0.8 |
The crew's model: gap = 24 × 0.8ᵗ, so the reading is 18 + 24 × 0.8ᵗ. The 0.8 is their own fit, not a law.
When is the gap half of 24? Solve 24 × 0.8ᵗ = 12. Divide: 0.8ᵗ = 0.5. So t = log 0.5 ÷ log 0.8 ≈ 3.1 minutes.
A quarter of the gap takes about 6.2 minutes, twice as long. Each halving takes the same time in this model.
| Statement | True or false? |
|---|---|
| The gap above room temperature shrinks by the same factor each minute in the crew's model. | ? |
| 42 - 18 = 24 | ? |
| The reading itself, not the gap, is what gets multiplied by 0.8. | ? |
| Halving the gap twice takes about twice as long as halving it once. | ? |
| The 0.8 is a law that every jug in every room must follow. | ? |
Careful lab work. Tomorrow the logarithm gets its own graph, a mirror of the exponential curve.