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AI and You 9-12 / Week 02 / Wednesday
3/6
Week 02 · The Lifecycle and Its People

Wednesday

Explorer Lab: The risk grid
// Who designs, builds, deploys, runs and checks SH-1, and how they manage risk
⏱ about 20 min

Wednesday: Explorer Lab: The Risk Grid

Wren rules a square on graph paper and splits it into nine boxes. "Before we rate any SH-1 risk, let's practice on everyday ones."

Comet reads the first card. "A wet hallway by the gym door after rain. That happens all the time, so it must be the worst risk!"

Wren taps the grid. "What does the evidence say? How often it happens is only half of it. How bad would it be?"

Nova lights up the two edges of the grid: Likelihood along the bottom and Harm up the side. "Would you like a hint?" she asks. "Place each risk by both edges, not just one."

Comet hands you a pencil. "Reviewer, you place the next one."

Your mission

In NIST's framework, risk combines how likely an event is with how big its consequences would be.

The effects of AI systems can be positive, negative or both.

Today you draw a 3-by-3 risk grid and place four made-up everyday risks on it. Then you name the nine rows of the SH-1 risk register.

  • Graph paper or plain paper
  • A pencil and a ruler
  • Four small slips of paper
  1. Draw a large square and split it into a 3-by-3 grid of nine boxes.
  2. Label the bottom edge Likelihood: Low, Medium, High, from left to right.
  3. Label the left edge Harm: Low, Medium, High, from bottom to top.
  4. Copy each everyday risk from the table below onto its own slip.
  5. Place each slip in the box that matches its likelihood and its harm.
  6. Give each risk the crew's score: Low is 1, Medium is 2 and High is 3. Multiply likelihood by harm.
  7. Write each score on its slip.
  8. Check your grid with the questions below.
Everyday risk (made up)LikelihoodHarm
Rain on the day of the outdoor club fairMediumLow
The library printer jams on a busy morningHighLow
A printed answer key has a wrong answer that many students study fromLowHigh
The hallway by the gym door is wet after rainHighMedium

The 1, 2, 3 score is the crew's own simple method. It is a way to compare risks, not an exact measure.

CHECK YOUR GRID
  • Read the question.
  • Tap your answer.
What is the crew's score for the wet hallway?
What is the crew's score for the wrong answer key?
Which risk has the highest score?
The printer jam and the wrong answer key both score 3. What does that show?
What is the highest score any box on the grid can have?

The SH-1 risk register

The crew will rate SH-1's risks in a risk register: one row per risk, with likelihood, harm and actions.

The row names come from a NIST report on the risks of generative AI. The crew picked nine that fit a study helper.

Today the crew only names the rows. Ratings come later, once there is evidence.

RowRisk nameHow it might show up with SH-1 (made up)
R1ConfabulationSH-1 might give confident wrong answers.
R2Harmful bias and homogenizationSH-1 might serve some classes worse, or write quizzes that are all alike.
R3Data privacyThe log stores names, class and time (P5).
R4Information securitySomeone might tamper with the notes SH-1 reads.
R5Information integritySH-1 text or pictures might be shared as if they were real.
R6Intellectual propertyA quiz might copy someone else's writing.
R7Human-AI configurationStudents might trust Check over their own work.
R8Environmental impactsEvery request makes new text on the builder's computers.
R9Value chain and component integrationSH-1 is built on another company's model (P2).
NAME THE REGISTER ROWS
  • Read the question.
  • Tap your answer.
The log stores students' names, class and time. Which register row is that?
SH-1 is built on another company's model. Which register row is that?
Why does the crew leave the likelihood and harm boxes empty today?
On paper, draw your 3-by-3 risk grid with all four everyday risks placed and scored.

Excellent grid work, reviewer. Tomorrow the crew learns the four functions that turn this grid into a plan.

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